StatSheet Projects Purdue as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/08/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 8th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting Purdue on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament and it must improve to get in. The Boilermakers are ranked #72 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 15-9 overall record and a 5-6 record in the Big Ten.

Over the last four games, Purdue registered a quality win against RPI #35 Northwestern but also struggled mightily with losses to AP #3 Ohio State and AP #23 Indiana.

Purdue is sub-par against strong competition, with a 6-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 5-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Boilermakers have five quality wins including RPI #35 Northwestern, RPI #49 Minnesota, RPI #38 Illinois, RPI #36 Miami (FL), and RPI #18 Temple. They also have two bad losses including RPI #140 Penn State and RPI #148 Butler.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are New Mexico (19-4, 5-2 Mountain West, StatRank #42), Ole Miss (14-8, 4-4 SEC, StatRank #51), Minnesota (17-7, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #49), and St. Joseph's (PA) (15-9, 5-4 A-10, StatRank #39).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #46), Colorado (16-7, 8-3 Pac 12, StatRank #66), Notre Dame (15-8, 7-3 Big East, StatRank #61), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #71).

The next four out are Arizona (16-8, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #65), LSU (13-9, 3-5 SEC, StatRank #70), Pittsburgh (15-9, 4-7 Big East, StatRank #63), and Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #62).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Marquette
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11Arkansas
#12Minnesota
#13Long Beach State
#14Akron
#15Davidson
#16Bucknell
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Florida State
#4Murray State
#5Mississippi State
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Northwestern
#9Illinois
#10Gonzaga
#11California
#12Ole Miss
#13MTSU
#14Cleveland State
#15Nevada
#16Long Island
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Georgetown
#4San Diego State
#5UNLV
#6Saint Mary's
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Memphis
#10Iowa State
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13New Mexico
#14Iona
#15VCU
#16Mercer
#17Stony Brook
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Michigan State
#4Southern Miss
#5Virginia
#6Wisconsin
#7West Virginia
#8Vanderbilt
#9Miami (FL)
#10Wichita State
#11Saint Louis
#12St. Joseph's (PA)
#13Oral Roberts
#14Washington
#15Weber State
#16UNCA
#17Texas-Arlington

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East7 1643.8%
SEC7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 125 1050.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-103 1421.4%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Pac 122 1216.7%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Big Ten Standings

OverallConf
1 Ohio State 31-8 13-5
1 Michigan State 29-8 13-5
1 Michigan 24-10 13-5
4 Wisconsin 26-10 12-6
5 Indiana 27-9 11-7
 6Purdue 22-13 10-8
7 Northwestern 19-14 8-10
7 Iowa 18-17 8-10
9 Minnesota 23-15 6-12
9 Illinois 17-15 6-12
11 Nebraska 12-18 4-14
11 Penn State 12-20 4-14
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#14 Dru Anthrop Jr G 6-0 181
#12 Kelsey Barlow Jr G 6-5 200
#30 Neal Beshears Fr F 6-6 187
#21 D.J. Byrd Jr G/F 6-5 234
#50 Travis Carroll So F 6-9 231
#15 Donnie Hale Fr F 6-8 212
#32 John Hart Jr G 6-2 205
#4 Robbie Hummel Sr F 6-8 215
#23 Lewis Jackson Sr G 5-9 165
#1 Anthony Johnson Fr G 6-3 179
#0 Terone Johnson So G 6-2 207
#34 Jacob Lawson Fr F 6-8 218
#55 Sandi Marcius So F 6-9 257
#24 Ryne Smith Sr G 6-3 189